FanBoardHQ

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech · 2023 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#58
Efficiency
+5.8
44th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 14
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Virginia Tech went 7-6 and was ranked 58th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 38th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 53rd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 20th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 50th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-2
Q3
3-0
Q4
4-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
64th
-2.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
68th
full season
68th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
55th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Old DominionSun Belt#89W 3617+17.5100%7.8Q4
2vs PurdueBig Ten#92L 1724+11.10%-12.4Q4
3@ RutgersBig Ten#46L 1635+0.20%-11.1Q2
4@ MarshallSun Belt#86L 1724+11.50%-12.9Q4
5vs PittsburghACC#103W 3821+11.9100%9.3Q4
6@ Florida StateACC#9L 1739-12.30%-3.3Q1
7vs Wake ForestACC#96W 3013+13.2100%11.4Q4
9vs SyracuseACC#81W 3810+13.5100%26.7Q4
10@ LouisvilleACC#21L 334-9.90%-19.9Q1
11@ Boston CollegeACC#73W 4822+8.1100%28.8Q3
12vs NC StateACC#26L 2835-0.80%-5.0Q2
13@ VirginiaACC#101W 5517+7.0100%32.3Q3
Postseason
vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#37W 4120+3.8100%20.3Q3

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Virginia Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-15.7+6.2+28.18-12-11-139-31127-2029-532Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 50th
SR 76thYPP 48thEPA 41st
RushingEff 20th
SR 20thYPP 7thEPA 28th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 47th
SR 25thYPP 32ndEPA 75th
Rush defenseEff 79th
SR 36thYPP 112thEPA 79th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo -6.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 58th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 37%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 57.0Q1 · Allowed: 56.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 147.0Q2 · Allowed: 88.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 82.0Q3 · Allowed: 90.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 81.0Q4 · Allowed: 55.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledVirginia TechOffenseDefense
Virginia Tech Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 38th
+4.5
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: +3.3
Field position +1.2Finishing drives +3.3= +4.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 26th · Finishing 41st

Defensive EffRanked 53rd
+1.3
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: +0.8
Field position +0.5Finishing drives +0.8= +1.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 46th · Finishing 57th

2.25 points per drive on offense, 1.85 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(222)41% / 59%34%4.8
Q2(222)49% / 51%47%7.4
Q3(183)49% / 51%47%6.8
Q4(201)42% / 58%43%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(155)10.244%7.2
2nd(104)9.235%6.6
3rd(100)8.628%5.1
4th(15)4.353%10.5
All (374)37%6.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(213)9.944%6.3
2nd(163)7.547%5.5
3rd(67)5.551%4.7
4th(11)3.582%7.7
All (454)47%5.8

Virginia Tech, all games.